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日本海事新聞ニュース Japan Maritime Daily Dec 07, 2023 (Thu)

World’s Shipyards Secure Highest ’Forward Cover’ Orders Since the Boom

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　The world’s shipyard gantt chart has advanced to the level of futures not seen since the shipping b ・・・続きはログインして下さいnext %E3%80%80The+world%E2%80%99s+shipyard+gantt+chart+has+advanced+to+the+level+of+futures+not+seen+since+the+shipping+boom%2C+but+its+contents+have+changed+significantly+since+then.+Britain%E2%80%99s+Clarksons+Research+calculates+what+is+known+as+%E2%80%9Cforward+cover%2C%E2%80%9D+which+indicates+how+many+years+into+the+future+a+shipyard%E2%80%99s+gantt+chart+has+advanced+on+average+around+the+world%2C+and+it+was+3.7+years+as+of+last+month%2C+the+highest+level+since+2009%2C+just+after+the+boom.+On+the+other+hand%2C+both+the+total+backlog+of+orders+and+the+world%E2%80%99s+construction+capacity+have+shrunk+by+30+to+40%25+since+then.+The+breakdown+of+the+order+backlog+has+also+changed.+Bulkers+and+tankers+accounted+for+more+than+60%25+of+total+orders+back+then%2C+but+now+that+number+has+fallen+to+less+than+30%25%2C+with+gas+carriers+and+container+ships+accounting+for+the+majority.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Clarksons+Research+divides+the+total+backlog+of+shipyards+around+the+world+by+the+amount+completed+in+the+last+12+months+%28based+on+CGT+%EF%BC%9CCompensated+Gross+Tonnage%EF%BC%9E%29+and+calculates+the+forward+cover%2C+which+shows+the+progress+of+the+gantt+chart%2C+on+an+annual+basis.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Changes+in+the+forward+cover+since+2008+are+shown+in+the+graph+%E2%80%9CChanges+in+gantt+chart+progress+%28forward+cover%29+of+shipyards+around+the+world.%E2%80%9D+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80This+figure+reached+a+record+high+of+5.6+years+in+2008%2C+at+the+end+of+the+shipping+boom%2C+and+continued+to+decline+until+mid-2012.+On+the+other+hand%2C+the+latest+performance+in+November+2023+was+3.7+years%2C+the+highest+level+since+August+2009%2C+just+after+the+boom.+This+exceeded+the+3.5+years+in+2014%2C+which+was+a+mini+boom+for+bulker+orders.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Although+the+current+level+of+progress+in+the+gantt+chart+is+at+the+same+high+level+as+in+August+2009%2C+Clarksons+Research+points+out+that+there+are+several+clear+changes+in+its+content.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80First%2C+the+scale+of+order+backlogs+differs+significantly.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80The+current+order+backlog+is+123+million+CGT+and+259+million+dwt%2C+which+is+a+significant+decrease+of+35%25+and+54%25%2C+respectively%2C+compared+to+August+2009.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Shipyard+construction+volumes+and+capacity+also+decreased+significantly+during+this+period.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Global+new+shipbuilding+totaled+32.9+million+CGT+in+the+last+12+months%2C+down+31%25+compared+to+full-year+2009+results.+The+number+of+large+shipyards+building+new+ships+with+20%2C000+dwt+or+more+has+decreased+from+316+at+the+beginning+of+2009+to+148%2C+and+it+is+estimated+that+global+construction+capacity+has+shrunk+by+about+35%25+since+its+peak+in+2010+and+2011.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80The+proportion+of+each+ship+type+in+the+backlog+is+also+changing%2C+as+shown+in+the+graph+%E2%80%9CBacklog+by+ship+type+%28%25CGT%29.%E2%80%9D+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80As+of+August+2009%2C+bulkers+accounted+for+the+largest+share+of+CGT-based+order+backlog+at+39%25%2C+following+the+shipping+boom+which+saw+an+unprecedented+dry+boom+between+2003+and+2008.+Tankers+came+second+at+23%25%2C+followed+by+container+ships+at+16%25+and+gas+carriers+at+just+4%25.+%3Cbr%3E%E3%80%80Currently%2C+gas+carriers+and+container+ships+are+both+in+first+place+with+27%25%2C+while+tankers+and+bulkers+have+dropped+to+a+combined+total+of+27%25.+%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3EDisclaimer%3A+The+English+translations+provided+through+this+service+are+the+result+of+translations+made+by+The+Japan+Maritime+Daily+or+automatically+and+mechanically+translated+by+The+Japan+Maritime+Daily+using+an+automated+translation+system+provided+by+a+third+party+after+certain+processing+of+the+Japanese+content+licensed+by+the+third+party.+In+terms+of+the+English+translation%2C+The+Japan+Maritime+Daily+and+MarineNet+Co.%2C+Ltd.+make+no+warranty+or+burden+of+any+kind%2C+express+or+implied%2C+including+its+accuracy%2C+reliability%2C+validity+or+fitness+for+a+particular+purpose.+MarineNet+Users+should+fully+understand+that+this+service+uses+an+automated+translation+system+that+automatically+and+mechanically+recognizes+and+analyzes+information+and+produces+results.+The+users+should+understand+the+above+conditions+before+using+this+service.%3Cbr%3E%3Cbr%3E%E5%85%8D%E8%B2%AC%E4%BA%8B%E9%A0%85%EF%BC%9A%E3%81%93%E3%81%AE%E3%82%B5%E3%83%BC%E3%83%93%E3%82%B9%E3%82%92%E4%BB%8B%E3%81%97%E3%81%A6%E6%8F%90%E4%BE%9B%E3%81%95%E3%82%8C%E3%82%8B%E8%8B%B1%E8%A8%B3%E3%81%AF%E3%80%81%E6%97%A5%E6%9C%AC%E6%B5%B7%E4%BA%8B%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E%E3%81%8C%E4%BD%9C%E6%88%90%E3%81%99%E3%82%8B%E3%81%8B%E3%80%81%E5%8F%88%E3%81%AF%E3%80%81%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E8%80%85%E3%81%8B%E3%82%89%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E8%A8%B1%E8%AB%BE%E3%82%92%E5%8F%97%E3%81%91%E3%81%9F%E6%97%A5%E6%9C%AC%E8%AA%9E%E3%81%AE%E3%82%B3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%86%E3%83%B3%E3%83%84%E3%82%92%E3%80%81%E6%97%A5%E6%9C%AC%E6%B5%B7%E4%BA%8B%E6%96%B0%E8%81%9E%E3%81%8C%E4%B8%80%E5%AE%9A%E3%81%AE%E5%87%A6%E7%90%86%E3%82%92%E8%A1%8C%E3%81%A3%E3%81%9F%E4%B8%8A%E3%81%A7%E3%80%81%E7%AC%AC%E4%B8%89%E8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